Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.255691 3.759891 4.317895 4.981543 5.749800 6.611772 7.653135
2024-10-27 2.418161 3.033010 3.772251 4.727680 5.931817 7.401746 9.336726
2024-11-03 2.032893 2.740544 3.655338 4.927289 6.655045 8.927491 12.155795
2024-11-10 1.771768 2.548060 3.619039 5.209461 7.521036 10.773805 15.726377
2024-11-17 1.520846 2.318319 3.484965 5.323736 8.165371 12.417235 19.313534
2024-11-24 1.302597 2.093432 3.313715 5.344331 8.663435 13.917043 22.947933
2024-12-01 1.086332 1.831788 3.039200 5.150404 8.782707 14.835994 25.812115
2024-12-08 0.909014 1.601897 2.775280 4.922752 8.796412 15.566856 28.466346
2024-12-15 0.813776 1.495147 2.698745 4.998979 9.339044 17.276734 33.132172
2024-12-22 0.706574 1.349201 2.529514 4.877619 9.496915 18.309391 36.705347
2024-12-29 0.667497 1.323179 2.573991 5.161508 10.463339 21.003485 43.976128
2025-01-05 0.620587 1.274246 2.566475 5.340016 11.245829 23.453448 51.171440
2025-01-12 0.561405 1.194481 2.492024 5.383018 11.784129 25.550755 58.139664
2025-01-19 0.482557 1.061623 2.289439 5.123105 11.632800 26.167425 61.960256
2025-01-26 0.454627 1.034475 2.306802 5.349635 12.605663 29.434167 72.573129
2025-02-02 0.435383 1.023708 2.358403 5.663161 13.836263 33.509282 85.963084
2025-02-09 0.404926 0.982110 2.333555 5.791886 14.646219 36.726199 97.847912
2025-02-16 0.371405 0.927878 2.270720 5.817046 15.202844 39.415382 108.899871
2025-02-23 0.328770 0.844486 2.124692 5.607227 15.116375 40.443483 115.641528
2025-03-02 0.289713 0.764131 1.974058 5.359924 14.885414 41.044723 121.291621
2025-03-09 0.270921 0.734007 1.947832 5.443719 15.582080 44.306076 135.404836
2025-03-16 0.244602 0.679618 1.849608 5.311711 15.643665 45.789808 144.456381
2025-03-23 0.238764 0.681028 1.902824 5.621731 17.056688 51.462463 167.843012